Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.196726 0.223809 0.252864 0.286306 0.323686 0.364132 0.411158
2026-01-04 0.163304 0.200061 0.242109 0.293599 0.354767 0.424917 0.511261
2026-01-11 0.137232 0.179317 0.230212 0.295920 0.378093 0.477016 0.604625
2026-01-18 0.119246 0.165028 0.223182 0.301823 0.404644 0.533678 0.706902
2026-01-25 0.106007 0.154528 0.218945 0.309722 0.433163 0.593806 0.817055
2026-02-01 0.092364 0.141407 0.209271 0.308649 0.448769 0.637284 0.907634
2026-02-08 0.081180 0.130125 0.200520 0.307326 0.463002 0.678885 0.997412
2026-02-15 0.071847 0.120273 0.192499 0.305772 0.476034 0.718816 1.086476
2026-02-22 0.066049 0.115038 0.190553 0.312578 0.501124 0.776735 1.203849
2026-03-01 0.059460 0.107696 0.184504 0.312298 0.515116 0.818785 1.299925
2026-03-08 0.053843 0.101258 0.179136 0.312353 0.529193 0.861247 1.398371
2026-03-15 0.049035 0.095616 0.174430 0.312861 0.543649 0.904645 1.500050
2026-03-22 0.045350 0.091677 0.172410 0.317956 0.566381 0.963100 1.629916
2026-03-29 0.042500 0.088932 0.172151 0.325933 0.594294 1.031259 1.778812
2026-04-05 0.039118 0.084776 0.168967 0.328462 0.613033 1.085457 1.907972
2026-04-12 0.036630 0.082059 0.168100 0.334934 0.638818 1.152448 2.061317
2026-04-19 0.034653 0.080128 0.168476 0.343603 0.668865 1.227983 2.232462
2026-04-26 0.031686 0.075786 0.163814 0.342422 0.681020 1.273447 2.354772
2026-05-03 0.028997 0.071704 0.159247 0.340966 0.692400 1.317910 2.477217
2026-05-10 0.026554 0.067861 0.154776 0.339259 0.703038 1.361371 2.599702
2026-05-17 0.025215 0.066355 0.154948 0.346732 0.731419 1.437799 2.783783
2026-05-24 0.023290 0.063246 0.151448 0.346424 0.744650 1.487214 2.921515
2026-05-31 0.021571 0.060417 0.148272 0.346485 0.758494 1.538262 3.064309